Question 74 of 480
X and Y are two events. The probability of X or Y is 0.7 and that of X is 0.4. If X and Y are independent, find the probability of Y.
- A. 0.30
- B. 0.50
- C. 0.57
- D. 1.80
Correct Answer:
A
Explanation
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability of event Y given that the probability of either event X or event Y occurring is 0.7, and the probability of event X occurring is 0.4. Additionally, we know that events X and Y are independent.
### Step-by-Step Explanation
1. **Understanding the Problem**:
- We are given:
- \( P(X \cup Y) = 0.7 \) (the probability of either X or Y occurring)
- \( P(X) = 0.4 \) (the probability of X occurring)
- We need to find \( P(Y) \) (the probability of Y occurring).
2. **Using the Formula for Independent Events**:
- For two independent events, the probability of either event occurring can be calculated using the formula:
\[
P(X \cup Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X \cap Y)
\]
- Since X and Y are independent, we can express \( P(X \cap Y) \) as:
\[
P(X \cap Y) = P(X) \cdot P(Y)
\]
3. **Substituting Known Values**:
- We can substitute the known values into the formula:
\[
P(X \cup Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X) \cdot P(Y)
\]
- Plugging in the values we have:
\[
0.7 = 0.4 + P(Y) - (0.4 \cdot P(Y))
\]
4. **Rearranging the Equation**:
- Let's simplify the equation:
\[
0.7 = 0.4 + P(Y) - 0.4P(Y)
\]
- Combine the terms involving \( P(Y) \):
\[
0.7 = 0.4 + P(Y)(1 - 0.4)
\]
- This simplifies to:
\[
0.7 = 0.4 + 0.6P(Y)
\]
5. **Isolating \( P(Y) \)**:
- Now, we can isolate \( P(Y) \):
\[
0.7 - 0.4 = 0.6P(Y)
\]
\[
0.3 = 0.6P(Y)
\]
- Dividing both sides by 0.6 gives:
\[
P(Y) = \frac{0.3}{0.6} = 0.5
\]
### Conclusion
The probability of event Y occurring is \( P(Y) = 0.5 \).
### Evaluating the Options
- **Option A: 0.30** - Incorrect. This does not match our calculated probability.
- **Option B: 0.50** - Correct. This matches our calculated probability of Y.
- **Option C: 0.57** - Incorrect. This does not match our calculated probability.
- **Option D: 1.80** - Incorrect. Probabilities cannot exceed 1.
### Revision Summary
- The probability of either event X or Y occurring is calculated using the formula for independent events.
- For independent events, \( P(X \cap Y) = P(X) \cdot P(Y) \).
- Rearranging the equation allows us to isolate and solve for \( P(Y) \).
- The final answer is \( P(Y) = 0.5 \).